Q4 2025 GDP growth was weak at 1.4%, but largely distorted by a temporary government shutdown, masking stable private sector demand. Consumer spending and AI-driven nonresidential investment supported ...

A decrease in oil supply drives up oil prices, which can raise unemployment and inflation. To counter adverse effects on inflation, a central bank may choose to increase its policy rate, potentially ...

Some goods and services prices are not directly observed and must be indirectly derived for measuring inflation. This nonmarket-based inflation category has been an important factor keeping headline ...